Project icing forecasts decline but forecasters say to stand by

This morning’s current icing projections from National Weather Service (NWS) offices at Buffalo, Binghamton and State College, Pa., for Wednesday afternoon through Thursday storm. (Allegany Hope montage)

Projections for icing from a winter storm arriving in the area tomorrow afternoon through Thursday are showing significant reductions from last night in Allegany County, but forecasters are warning to “stay tuned.”

The National Weather Service (NWS) at Buffalo continues to note that “a very sharp temperature gradient is expected across the region from south to north” during the storm period so projected precipitation types, together with snow and ice amounts, “could still change.”

Last night’s maps were showing up to a quarter inch of ice in parts of Allegany County, while this morning’s are showing a tenth of an inch or less in a smaller area, with higher amounts to the east in parts of Steuben County.

The forecast map from the NWS at Buffalo, which accompanies this story, with our insets from NWS forecast offices in Binghamton and State College, Pa., show this morning’s projections.

Note that starting and ending times vary, as rain changes back and forth from mixed precipitation and snow during the event period.

Current projections for specific areas, together with timing for the next six days, are available on the Hourly Weather Forecast charts found on the lower right side of NWS local forecast pages.

In general, forecasters are saying that “a strong storm system will bring a wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow later Wednesday into Wednesday night, before precipitation changes to rain by Thursday. Minor snow and ice accumulations late Wednesday into (Thursday) could result in slippery travel.”

Links to these and other local, regional and national forecast tools are available on our exclusive Allegany Hope Weather Resources page at on this website or through the link in the left column of this page.

Continue to Be Aware. Be Prepared. Stay Safe.TM and monitor for changes, such as the abrupt ones which have occurred overnight.

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