Severe weather chances from Beryl elevated for Wednesday, Heat Advisory today to the east

BREAKING: Forecast chances for severe weather have been elevated for Allegany and Southern Tier counties of New York and Northern Pennsylvania this morning, as the remnants of now Tropical Storm Beryl moves across the area Wednesday, while the National Weather Service (NWS) at Binghamton has issued a HEAT ADVISORY for Steuben County east from noon until 8PM today and the NWS at State College indicates continuing high temperatures for Pennsylvania counties.

This morning’s forecast map (top) from the NWS Weather Prediction Center shows the area of threat for heavy rain and flash flooding Wednesday, with the area in yellow also showing the potential impact zone for severe weather, as provided by the NWS Storm Prediction Center. The second map shows the HEAT ADVISORY area for today.

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has increased the risk level for severe weather tomorrow from Marginal to Slight (the second tier on a scale of five), the same rating as that which was forecast previously for the chances of excessive rain and flooding.

The primary concern for severe weather is strong to damaging wind gusts (up to 29 percent), with the chance of tornadoes at under 10 percent.

It is noted that the region experienced localized storms at both of these risk levels last month.

The NWS at Buffalo reports that while remnants of Beryl will bring “a soaking rainfall of one to two inches to most locations, there could be localized corridors of heavier rainfall that may result in flooding,” with uncertainty at this time as to the location of the areas of greatest potential.

In the meantime, the NWS at Binghamton advises that heat indices in its forecast area, which includes Steuben County east, may reach 100 degrees this afternoon, with hot temperatures and high humidity able to “cause heat illnesses, especially for the young and elderly.”

Be Aware. Be Prepared. Stay Safe.TM and continue to monitor for weather updates.

Local weather component charts, which also include graphs of various weather aspects for a full week’s period as it progresses, may be obtained through the Impact-Based Decision Support Services (IDSS) website which can be found in our exclusive Allegany Hope Weather Resources, linked from the left column of this page, or at

Information can be obtained for any community in the United States or its territories by using the Search feature at the top of that page.

Other links provide access to Doppler radar which can be used for tracking storms and additional timely information.

Bookmarking appropriate NWS pages can help obtain quickly the most timely information on forecast changes.

Allegany Hope is a Weather-Ready Nation AmbassadorTM and, due to Allegany County’s location being in or bordering three NWS forecast offices, Allegany Hope Weather Resources provides forecast and other information from the NWS at Buffalo for Allegany County north and west, Binghamton for Steuben County east, and State College, Pa., for Potter and McKean counties in Pennsylvania, along with regional and national data.

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